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The problem with stimulus, regardless of your economic marketing philosophy, is what happens when that stimulus fades away. Things slow down -- and worse. Which brings us to the present "soft patch." Placing that into context is Asha Bangalore of Northern Trust. Banglore makes the intriguing observation about the private job creation between the end of the recession and the beginning of the rate tightening cycle:"Residential investment outlays have made a sizable contribution to the growth of real GDP in marketing the current business expansion and sales of new and existing homes have soared to set new records. The future marketing of the housing market is tied to employment conditions in the economy. The sluggish performance of payroll employment is the primary reason for the FOMC to take a measured path toward bringing the federal funds rate to a neutral level. At the same time, the performance of the housing market has played a visible role in payroll growth. Employment in housing and related industries (sum of employment in the establishment survey under various categories related to housing industry) accounted for about 43.0%
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